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Aug 11, 2006

Prognosis - USA - The fragility of global trade and infrastructure

Skepticism over world's future

USA - Energy Bulletin, by Alice Friedemann -10 Aug 2006: -- ... The third discontinuity will come when containerization can no longer be supported due to lack of fuel and/or electricity for cranes, trucks, and trains. Containerization revolutionized the amount of cargo and the swiftness with which it could be loaded and delivered from origin to destination by orders of magnitude over earlier forms of transportation... The final discontinuity will come when ships need to be built from wood, because the remaining mineral ore is too low quality and energy-intensive to process, and when we can no longer recycle the rusted and dispersed iron and steel...
(This is extracted of an extract of a longer paper, Peak Oil and the Preservation of Knowledge. See that page for references... Alice Friedemann, a Bay Area resident, is a long time scholar of peak oil and related issues. More of her writing can be found at www.energyskeptic.com and www.culturechange.org)

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